Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings

被引:51
作者
Aron, Janine [1 ]
Macdonald, Ronald [2 ]
Muellbauer, John [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oxford, Inst New Econ Thinking, Oxford Martin Sch, Oxford, England
[2] Univ Glasgow, Dept Econ, Glasgow, Lanark, Scotland
[3] Univ Oxford Nuffield Coll, Oxford OX1 1NF, England
关键词
IMPORT PRICES; SOUTH-AFRICA; RATE REGIMES; INFLATION; COINTEGRATION; ADJUSTMENT; DYNAMICS; ECONOMY; SHARE; GOODS;
D O I
10.1080/00220388.2013.847180
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
Global integration has increased the international linkages of financial markets for emerging market countries. A key channel for the international transmission of inflation and economic cycles is from exchange rate movements to domestic prices, known as exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). This article reviews the conceptual, methodological and policy issues connected with ERPT in emerging market and developing countries, and critically surveys selected empirical studies. A key contribution is to categorise and compare the heterogeneous methodologies used to extract ERPT measures in the empirical literature. Single equation models and systems methods are contrasted; frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable ERPT estimates are highlighted. The discerning policy-maker needs to ascertain by which methods ERPT measures were calculated, the controls and restrictions applied, and the time frame and stability of the estimates.
引用
收藏
页码:101 / 143
页数:43
相关论文
共 81 条
[41]  
Gopinath G., 2012, INT PRICES EXCHANGE
[42]   FREQUENCY OF PRICE ADJUSTMENT AND PASS-THROUGH [J].
Gopinath, Gita ;
Itskhoki, Oleg .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2010, 125 (02) :675-727
[43]   Currency Choice and Exchange Rate Pass-Through [J].
Gopinath, Gita ;
Itskhoki, Oleg ;
Rigobon, Roberto .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2010, 100 (01) :304-336
[44]   SOME PROPERTIES OF TIME-SERIES DATA AND THEIR USE IN ECONOMETRIC-MODEL SPECIFICATION [J].
GRANGER, CWJ .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1981, 16 (01) :121-130
[45]  
Hahn E., 2007, IUP J MONETARY EC, V4, P84
[46]   Who bears the cost of a change in the exchange rate? Pass-through accounting for the case of beer [J].
Hellerstein, Rebecca .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2008, 76 (01) :14-32
[47]  
Imbs J, 2005, Q J ECON, V120, P1
[48]   Exchange rate changes and inflation in post-crisis Asian economies: Vector autoregression analysis of the exchange rate pass-through [J].
Ito, Takatoshi ;
Sato, Kiyotaka .
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING, 2008, 40 (07) :1407-1438
[49]   MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD-ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION - WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY [J].
JOHANSEN, S ;
JUSELIUS, K .
OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 1990, 52 (02) :169-210
[50]   STATISTICAL-ANALYSIS OF COINTEGRATION VECTORS [J].
JOHANSEN, S .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 1988, 12 (2-3) :231-254