Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings

被引:51
作者
Aron, Janine [1 ]
Macdonald, Ronald [2 ]
Muellbauer, John [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oxford, Inst New Econ Thinking, Oxford Martin Sch, Oxford, England
[2] Univ Glasgow, Dept Econ, Glasgow, Lanark, Scotland
[3] Univ Oxford Nuffield Coll, Oxford OX1 1NF, England
关键词
IMPORT PRICES; SOUTH-AFRICA; RATE REGIMES; INFLATION; COINTEGRATION; ADJUSTMENT; DYNAMICS; ECONOMY; SHARE; GOODS;
D O I
10.1080/00220388.2013.847180
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
Global integration has increased the international linkages of financial markets for emerging market countries. A key channel for the international transmission of inflation and economic cycles is from exchange rate movements to domestic prices, known as exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). This article reviews the conceptual, methodological and policy issues connected with ERPT in emerging market and developing countries, and critically surveys selected empirical studies. A key contribution is to categorise and compare the heterogeneous methodologies used to extract ERPT measures in the empirical literature. Single equation models and systems methods are contrasted; frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable ERPT estimates are highlighted. The discerning policy-maker needs to ascertain by which methods ERPT measures were calculated, the controls and restrictions applied, and the time frame and stability of the estimates.
引用
收藏
页码:101 / 143
页数:43
相关论文
共 81 条
[1]  
Akofio-Sowah NA, 2009, INT ADV ECON RES, V15, P296, DOI 10.1007/s11294-009-9209-8
[2]   TESTS FOR PARAMETER INSTABILITY AND STRUCTURAL-CHANGE WITH UNKNOWN CHANGE-POINT [J].
ANDREWS, DWK .
ECONOMETRICA, 1993, 61 (04) :821-856
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2007, 12876 NBER
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1996, Toward a more accurate measure of the cost of living
[5]  
[Anonymous], 303 BANQ FRANC
[6]  
Aron J., 2007, 6346 CEPR
[7]  
Aron J., 2013, 9735 CEPR
[8]   New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US [J].
Aron, Janine ;
Muellbauer, John .
OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2013, 75 (05) :637-661
[9]   Improving forecasting in an emerging economy, South Africa: Changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation [J].
Aron, Janine ;
Muellbauer, John .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2012, 28 (02) :456-476
[10]  
Bache I. W., 2007, THESIS NORGES BANK O