Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to the changing Arctic

被引:297
作者
Overland, James E. [1 ]
Dethloff, Klaus [2 ]
Francis, Jennifer A. [3 ]
Hall, Richard J. [4 ]
Hanna, Edward [4 ]
Kim, Seong-Joong [5 ]
Screen, James A. [6 ]
Shepherd, Theodore G. [7 ]
Vihma, Timo [8 ]
机构
[1] NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115 USA
[2] Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Alfred Wegener Inst, Telegrafenberg A43, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany
[3] Rutgers State Univ, Dept Marine & Coastal Sci, 71 Dudley Rd, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA
[4] Univ Sheffield, Dept Geog, Winter St, Sheffield S10 2TN, S Yorkshire, England
[5] Korea Polar Res Inst, Inchon, South Korea
[6] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter EX4 4QE, Devon, England
[7] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, POB 243, Reading EG6 6BB, Berks, England
[8] Finnish Meteorol Inst, Erik Palmenin Aukiol 1, FI-00560 Helsinki, Finland
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 英国自然环境研究理事会; 芬兰科学院;
关键词
SEA-ICE LOSS; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; COLD WINTERS; AMPLIFICATION; VARIABILITY; PATTERNS; BEHAVIOR; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1038/NCLIMATE3121
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Are continuing changes in the Arctic influencing wind patterns and the occurrence of extreme weather events in northern mid-latitudes? The chaotic nature of atmospheric circulation precludes easy answers. The topic is a major science challenge, as continued Arctic temperature increases are an inevitable aspect of anthropogenic climate change. We propose a perspective that rejects simple cause-and-effect pathways and notes diagnostic challenges in interpreting atmospheric dynamics. We present a way forward based on understanding multiple processes that lead to uncertainties in Arctic and mid-latitude weather and climate linkages. We emphasize community coordination for both scientific progress and communication to a broader public.
引用
收藏
页码:992 / 999
页数:8
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