Robustness checks and robustness tests in applied economics

被引:190
作者
Lu, Xun [1 ]
White, Halbert [2 ]
机构
[1] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Econ, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Econ, San Diego, CA 92103 USA
关键词
Robustness; Causal effect; Conditional exogeneity; Specification test; Combined estimator; LEAST-SQUARES REGRESSION; CONDITIONAL-INDEPENDENCE; INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES; NEGLECTED NONLINEARITY; STRUCTURAL SYSTEMS; MODELS; PERFORMANCE; HETEROSKEDASTICITY; ECONOMETRICS; EXOGENEITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.08.016
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
A common exercise in empirical studies is a "robustness check", where the researcher examines how certain "core" regression coefficient estimates behave when the regression specification is modified by adding or removing regressors. If the coefficients are plausible and robust, this is commonly interpreted as evidence of structural validity. Here, we study when and how one can infer structural validity from coefficient robustness and plausibility. As we show, there are numerous pitfalls, as commonly implemented robustness checks give neither necessary nor sufficient evidence for structural validity. Indeed, if not conducted properly, robustness checks can be completely uninformative or entirely misleading. We discuss how critical and non-critical core variables can be properly specified and how non-core variables for the comparison regression can be chosen to ensure that robustness checks are indeed structurally informative. We provide a straightforward new Hausman (1978) type test of robustness for the critical core coefficients, additional diagnostics that can help explain why robustness test rejection occurs, and a new estimator, the Feasible Optimally combined GLS (FOGLeSs) estimator, that makes relatively efficient use of the robustness check regressions. A new procedure for Matlab, test rob, embodies these methods. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:194 / 206
页数:13
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