Estimation of the potential habitat for Satyrium w-album (Knoch, 1782) in the Iberian Peninsula and prediction of the climate change effects on its distribution for the years 2050 and 2070 (Lepidoptera: Lycaenidae)

In this paper we try to increase the knowledge of possible distribution of Satyrium w-album in the Iberian Peninsula using the predictive model MaxEnt, estimated the potential of habitat for this species under current bioclimatic conditions, in addition to estimate the future potential of habitat under the climate change effects for the years 2050 and 2070 used two scenarios of possible emission (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). The results show a tendency to reduce those grids with high habitat potentiality (=0.55-1) for both periods and emission scenarios. This reduction was more pronounced for the year 2070 under the RCP 8.5, leaving those grids with a high potentiality relegated to areas with a high altitude.