Towards Subdaily Rainfall Disaggregation via Clausius-Clapeyron

被引:29
作者
Buerger, G. [1 ,2 ]
Heistermann, M. [1 ]
Bronstert, A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Potsdam, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany
[2] Free Univ Berlin, Berlin, Germany
关键词
EXTREME PRECIPITATION; CLIMATE; MODEL; INCREASE; LIMITS;
D O I
10.1175/JHM-D-13-0161.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Two lines of research are combined in this study: first, the development of tools for the temporal disaggregation of precipitation, and second, some newer results on the exponential scaling of heavy short-term precipitation with temperature, roughly following the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relation. Having no extra temperature dependence, the traditional disaggregation schemes are shown to lack the crucial CC-type temperature dependence. The authors introduce a proof-of-concept adjustment of an existing disaggregation tool, the multiplicative cascade model of Olsson, and show that, in principal, it is possible to include temperature dependence in the disaggregation step, resulting in a fairly realistic temperature dependence of the CC type. They conclude by outlining the main calibration steps necessary to develop a full-fledged CC disaggregation scheme and discuss possible applications.
引用
收藏
页码:1303 / 1311
页数:9
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