Forecast of long-term electricity consumption of the industrial sub-sector of pulp and paper in Brazil using a bottom-up approach

被引：6

作者：

da Silva, Felipe L. C. ^{[1
,2
]}

Souza, Reinaldo C. ^{[1
]}

Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando L. ^{[3
]}

Lourenco, Plutarcho M. ^{[4
]}

Fagundes, Wesley de C. ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Pontif Catholic Univ Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Elect Engn Dept, BR-22453900 Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil

[2] Fed Rural Univ Rio de Janeiro UFRRJ, Math Dept, BR-23890000 Seropedica, RJ, Brazil

[3] Pontif Catholic Univ Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Ind Engn Dept, BR-22453900 Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil

[4] Pontif Catholic Univ Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Inst Energy, BR-22453900 Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil

来源：

3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND QUANTITATIVE MANAGEMENT, ITQM 2015 | 2015年 / 55卷

关键词：

Bottom-up; electricity consupmtion; pulp and paper industry; long-term;

D O I：

10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.028

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

The subsector of pulp and paper presented in 2013 an electric power consumption of 9.3% of electricity consumption in the industrial sector in Brazil. It experienced a significant growth of production in the last 20 years, exceeding 160%, and their consumption of electricity increased by 130%, reaching the level of 19,594GWh. Due to its characteristics, with a known structure and production processes, and its importance in the country's industrial sector, this subsector was selected for study in this paper, to evaluate the behavior of its long-term annual electricity demand, at the horizon of 20 years ahead, in energy efficiency scenarios through bottom-up approach. This approach is data intensive and requires data with good quality; it consists of a hierarchical structure that enables to check how specific actions can affect the results at each level and its effect on higher levels. (C) 2015 Published by Elsevier B.V.

引用

页码：514 / 522

页数：9

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