Government intervention model based on behavioral heterogeneity for China's stock market

被引:8
作者
Zhou, Zhong-Qiang [1 ,2 ]
Li, Jie [3 ]
Zhang, Wei [4 ,5 ]
Xiong, Xiong [4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Guizhou Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Big Data Applicat & Econ, Guiyang 550025, Peoples R China
[2] Guizhou Univ Finance & Econ, Guizhou Key Lab Big Data Stat Anal, Guiyang 550025, Peoples R China
[3] Nanjing Audit Univ, Sch Finance, Nanjing 211815, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[4] Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[5] Tianjin Univ, China Ctr Social Comp & Analyt, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Government intervention; Excess volatility; Behavioral heterogeneity; Heterogeneous agent model; EXPECTATIONS; DYNAMICS; INFORMATION; VOLATILITY; BELIEFS; BOOMS; BUSTS;
D O I
10.1186/s40854-022-00408-8
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Active government intervention is a striking characteristic of the Chinese stock market. This study develops a behavioral heterogeneous agent model (HAM) comprising fundamentalists, chartists, and stabilizers to investigate investors' dynamic switching mechanisms under government intervention. The model introduces a new player, the stabilizer, into the HAM as a proxy for the government. We use the model to examine government programs during the 2015 China stock market crash and find that it can replicate the dynamics of investor sentiment and asset prices. In addition, our analysis of two simulations, specifically the data-generating processes and shock response analysis, further corroborates the key conclusion that our intervention model not only maintains market stability but also promotes the return of risk asset prices to their fundamental values. The study concludes that government interventions guided by the new HAM can alleviate the dilemma between reducing price volatility and improving price efficiency in future intervention programs.
引用
收藏
页数:19
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