Scenarios and early warnings as dynamic capabilities to frame managerial attention

被引：47
作者：
Ramirez, Rafael [1 ,3 ]
Osterman, Riku [2 ]
Gronquist, Daniel [3 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Oxford, Said Business Sch, Oxford OX1 1HP, England
[2] Itapaja Ltd, Helsinki 00680, Finland
[3] NormannPartners AB, SE-11432 Stockholm, Sweden
来源：
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE | 2013年 / 80卷 / 04期
关键词：
Scenarios; Early warning; Dynamic capability; Framing; Top management; Competitive intelligence; STRATEGIC CHANGE; INNOVATION; ISSUES;
D O I：
10.1016/j.techfore.2012.10.029
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
This paper proposes that relating scenario planning with early warning scanning provides firms with synergic capabilities that help frame top management attention on possible future contexts and how they might unfold. The research is based on two case studies and makes two scholarly contributions: it discusses cognitive aspects in sensing by analyzing scenario planning and early warning scanning as dynamic capabilities; and it provides an exploration of the synergies between both. The paper may also help reflective scenario planners and competitive intelligence professionals to better connect their work. (C) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：825 / 838
页数：14
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