The use of aggregate time series for testing conditional heteroscedasticity

被引:1
作者
Teles, Paulo [1 ,2 ]
Chan, Wai Sum [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Porto, Sch Econ, Porto, Portugal
[2] LIAAD INESC Porto LA, Porto, Portugal
[3] Hang Seng Univ Hong Kong, Sch Decis Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
Conditional heteroscedasticity; Lagrange multiplier test; portmanteau test; power loss; temporal aggregation; TEMPORAL AGGREGATION; ASYMPTOTIC-BEHAVIOR; ESTIMATION ACCURACY; STATIONARY; MODELS;
D O I
10.1080/02331888.2022.2134386
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Many time series exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity such as stock prices or returns, interest rates or exchange rates. Time series used in empirical analysis are often temporal aggregates. We study the effects of using temporally aggregated time series in testing for heteroscedasticity. The distribution of the test statistics is affected by aggregation which causes a severe power loss that worsens with the order of aggregation. Thus, the tests often fail to detect the heteroscedastic nature of the data which is a misleading outcome and can entail wrong decisions. Our conclusions are illustrated by an empirical application.
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页码:1242 / 1269
页数:28
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