Computational Intelligence on Short-Term Load Forecasting: A Methodological Overview

被引:84
作者
Fallah, Seyedeh Narjes
Ganjkhani, Mehdi [1 ]
Shamshirband, Shahaboddin [2 ,3 ]
Chau, Kwok-wing [4 ]
机构
[1] Sharif Univ Technol, Dept Elect Engn, POB 11365-11155, Tehran, Iran
[2] Ton Duc Thang Univ, Dept Management Sci & Technol Dev, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[3] Ton Duc Thang Univ, Fac Informat Technol, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[4] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
short-term load forecasting; demand-side management; pattern similarity; hierarchical short-term load forecasting; feature selection; weather station selection; PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION; FEATURE-SELECTION; FEATURE-EXTRACTION; MEMETIC ALGORITHM; ELECTRICITY LOAD; NEURAL NETWORKS; VECTOR; MODEL; REGRESSION; IDENTIFICATION;
D O I
10.3390/en12030393
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Electricity demand forecasting has been a real challenge for power system scheduling in different levels of energy sectors. Various computational intelligence techniques and methodologies have been employed in the electricity market for short-term load forecasting, although scant evidence is available about the feasibility of these methods considering the type of data and other potential factors. This work introduces several scientific, technical rationales behind short-term load forecasting methodologies based on works of previous researchers in the energy field. Fundamental benefits and drawbacks of these methods are discussed to represent the efficiency of each approach in various circumstances. Finally, a hybrid strategy is proposed.
引用
收藏
页数:21
相关论文
共 90 条
[1]   Short-term load forecasting of power systems by combination of wavelet transform and neuro-evolutionary algorithm [J].
Amjady, N. ;
Keynia, F. .
ENERGY, 2009, 34 (01) :46-57
[2]   Short-term hourly load forecasting using time-series modeling with peak load estimation capability [J].
Amjady, N .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2001, 16 (03) :498-505
[3]   Short-Term Load Forecast of Microgrids by a New Bilevel Prediction Strategy [J].
Amjady, Nima ;
Keynia, Farshid ;
Zareipour, Hamidreza .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SMART GRID, 2010, 1 (03) :286-294
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2011, IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, DOI DOI 10.1109/TKDE.2010.227
[5]   A regional hybrid GOA-SVM model based on similar day approach for short-term load forecasting in Assam, India [J].
Barman, Mayur ;
Choudhury, N. B. Dev ;
Sutradhar, Suman .
ENERGY, 2018, 145 :710-720
[6]   A gradient boosting approach to the Kaggle load forecasting competition [J].
Ben Taieb, Souhaib ;
Hyndman, Rob J. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2014, 30 (02) :382-394
[7]   A BOTTOM-UP APPROACH TO RESIDENTIAL LOAD MODELING [J].
CAPASSO, A ;
GRATTIERI, W ;
LAMEDICA, R ;
PRUDENZI, A .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 1994, 9 (02) :957-964
[8]   A Strategy for Short-Term Load Forecasting by Support Vector Regression Machines [J].
Ceperic, Ervin ;
Ceperic, Vladimir ;
Baric, Adrijan .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2013, 28 (04) :4356-4364
[9]   Electric Load Forecasting Based on Statistical Robust Methods [J].
Chakhchoukh, Yacine ;
Panciatici, Patrick ;
Mili, Lamine .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2011, 26 (03) :982-991
[10]   A refined parametric model for short term load forecasting [J].
Charlton, Nathaniel ;
Singleton, Colin .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2014, 30 (02) :364-368