Modelling maximum daily yearly rainfall in northern Algeria using generalized extreme value distributions from 1936 to 2009

被引:19
|
作者
Boudrissa, Naima [1 ]
Cheraitia, Hassen [2 ]
Halimi, Lotfi [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl High Sch Stat & Appl Econ, Dept Appl Stat & Econometr, ENSSEA, Kolea, Algeria
[2] Jijel Univ, Dept Econ, Jijel, Algeria
[3] Natl Off Meteorol, Algiers, Algeria
关键词
generalized extreme value distribution; daily precipitations; annual daily maxima; return level; FREQUENCY-DISTRIBUTION; PRECIPITATION; TEMPERATURES; STATISTICS;
D O I
10.1002/met.1610
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The generalized extreme value distribution is generally used to model annual maximum daily precipitation, and it then allows the calculation of the return values of this phenomenon. The distribution was fitted for selected stations in the north of Algeria; it was found that the generalized extreme value distribution of type I or the Gumbel distribution is more suitable for the Algiers and Miliana stations and the Frechet distribution is more appropriate for the Oran station. The parameters were estimated using the maximum likelihood method, and the return levels were calculated at selected return periods T; for instance, about 100 years must elapse to record a level of 181.9 mm of rainfall per day in Algiers, 173 mm in Miliana and 109.54 mm in Oran.
引用
收藏
页码:114 / 119
页数:6
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