SARS-CoV-2-related mortality in a rural Latin American population

被引:28
作者
Del Brutto, Oscar H. [1 ]
Costa, Aldo F. [2 ]
Mera, Robertino M. [3 ]
Recalde, Bettsy Y. [2 ]
Bustos, Javier A. [4 ]
Garcia, Hector H. [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Espiritu Santo Ecuador, Sch Med, Guayaquil, Ecuador
[2] Atahualpa Project, Community Ctr, Atahualpa, Ecuador
[3] Gilead Sci Inc, Dept Epidemiol, 353 Lakeside Dr, Foster City, CA 94404 USA
[4] Univ Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Dept Microbiol, Ctr Global Hlth, Lima, Peru
关键词
SARS-CoV-2; Coronavirus-19; Mortality; Rural setting; Ecuador;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijid.2020.08.003
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
A sudden increase in adult mortality associated with respiratory diseases was noticed in Atahualpa (a rural Ecuadorian village), coinciding with the introduction of SARS-CoV-2 in the region. From a total of 1,852 individuals aged >= 18 years, 40 deaths occurred between January and June, 2020. In addition, a seroprevalence survey showed that 45% of the adult population have SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Verbal autopsies revealed SARS-CoV-2 as the most likely cause of death in 29 cases. The mean age of suspected or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases was 76.9 +/- 12.1 years, while that of those dying from unrelated causes was 60.3 +/- 20.4 years (p = 0.003). The overall mortality rate was 21.6 per 1,000 population (95% C.I.: 15.9 - 29.2), almost three-quarters of it due to SARS-CoV-2 (15.7 per 1,000; 95% C.I.: 11 - 22.4). This configures a 266% of excess mortality when compared to 5.9 per 1,000 (95% C.I.: 3.3 - 10.6) deaths from other causes. When SARS-CoV-2 mortality rate was calculated in individuals aged >= 60 years, it raised up to 68.9 per 1,000 (95% C.I.: 47.8 - 98.4). After peaking in April and May, mortality significantly decreased. It is possible that the high proportion of infected individuals and the resulting herd immunity contributed to the observed reduction in mortality. (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.
引用
收藏
页码:226 / 228
页数:3
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