Going electric: Expert survey on the future of battery technologies for electric vehicles

被引：86

作者：

Catenacci, Michela ^{[1
]}

Verdolini, Elena ^{[1
,2
]}

Bosetti, Valentina ^{[1
,2
,4
]}

Fiorese, Giulia ^{[1
,3
]}

机构：

[1] FEEM, I-20123 Milan, Italy

[2] CMCC Ctr Euromediterraneo & Cambiamenti Climat, I-73100 Lecce, Italy

[3] Commiss European Communities, Joint Res Ctr, Inst Environm & Sustainabil, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy

[4] Univ Bocconi, Dept Econ, I-20136 Milan, Italy

来源：

ENERGY POLICY | 2013年 / 61卷

基金：

欧洲研究理事会;

关键词：

Expert elicitation; Battery technologies; Electric vehicles; ELICITATION SURVEY; JUDGMENT;

D O I：

10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.078

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The paper describes the results of a survey carried out with leading EU experts on the future costs of batteries for electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles and the uncertainty surrounding them. Battery costs are one of the main components in the overall costs of EVs and improvements could be brought about by increased investments in research, development and demonstration (RD&D). Experts' judgements are collected to shed light on the inherently uncertain relationship between RD&D efforts and the consequent technical progress in batteries. The analysis of the experts data results in a number of important policy recommendations to guide future RD&D choices and target commitments both for the EU and its member states. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：403 / 413

页数：11