An improved boosting based on feature selection for corporate bankruptcy prediction

被引:119
作者
Wang, Gang [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Ma, Jian [3 ]
Yang, Shanlin [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Hefei Univ Technol, Sch Management, Hefei 230009, Anhui, Peoples R China
[2] Minist Educ, Key Lab Proc Optimizat & Intelligent Decis Making, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China
[3] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Informat Syst, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
基金
中国博士后科学基金; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Corporate bankruptcy prediction; Ensemble learning; Boosting; Feature selection; BUSINESS FAILURE PREDICTION; SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE; FINANCIAL RATIOS; NEURAL-NETWORKS; ENSEMBLE; MODELS;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2013.09.033
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
With the recent financial crisis and European debt crisis, corporate bankruptcy prediction has become an increasingly important issue for financial institutions. Many statistical and intelligent methods have been proposed, however, there is no overall best method has been used in predicting corporate bankruptcy. Recent studies suggest ensemble learning methods may have potential applicability in corporate bankruptcy prediction. In this paper, a new and improved Boosting, FS-Boosting, is proposed to predict corporate bankruptcy. Through injecting feature selection strategy into Boosting, FS-Booting can get better performance as base learners in FS-Boosting could get more accuracy and diversity. For the testing and illustration purposes, two real world bankruptcy datasets were selected to demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of FS-Boosting. Experimental results reveal that FS-Boosting could be used as an alternative method for the corporate bankruptcy prediction. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2353 / 2361
页数:9
相关论文
共 48 条
[41]   Using neural network ensembles for bankruptcy prediction and credit scoring [J].
Tsai, Chih-Fong ;
Wu, Jhen-Wei .
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2008, 34 (04) :2639-2649
[42]   Bankruptcy prediction with Least Squares Support Vector Machine Classifiers [J].
Van Gestel, T ;
Baesens, B ;
Suykens, J ;
Espinoza, M ;
Baestaens, DE ;
Vanthienen, J ;
De Moor, B .
2003 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE FOR FINANCIAL ENGINEERING, PROCEEDINGS, 2003, :1-8
[43]   Two credit scoring models based on dual strategy ensemble trees [J].
Wang, Gang ;
Ma, Jian ;
Huang, Lihua ;
Xu, Kaiquan .
KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2012, 26 :61-68
[44]   A comparative assessment of ensemble learning for credit scoring [J].
Wang, Gang ;
Hao, Jinxing ;
Ma, Jian ;
Jiang, Hongbing .
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2011, 38 (01) :223-230
[45]   A FACTOR-ANALYTIC APPROACH TO BANK CONDITION [J].
WEST, RC .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 1985, 9 (02) :253-266
[46]  
Witten IH, 2011, MOR KAUF D, P1
[47]   Bankruptcy prediction using SVM models with a new approach to combine features selection and parameter optimisation [J].
Zhou, Ligang ;
Lai, Kin Keung ;
Yen, Jerome .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE, 2014, 45 (03) :241-253