Optimal control and differential game solutions for social distancing in response to epidemics of infectious diseases on networks

被引:9
作者
Dashtbali, Mohammadali [1 ]
Malek, Alaeddin [1 ]
Mirzaie, Mehdi [1 ]
机构
[1] Tarbiat Modares Univ, Fac Math Sci, Dept Appl Math, Jalal Al Ahmad High Way, Tehran, Iran
关键词
differential game; infectious diseases; investment; network; optimal control; social distancing; INFLUENZA; SPREAD;
D O I
10.1002/oca.2650
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
In this paper, the problem of social distancing in the spread of infectious diseases in the human network is extended by optimal control and differential game approaches. Hear, SEAIR model on simulation network is used. Total costs for both approaches are formulated as objective functions. SEAIR dynamics for groupkthat contacts withkindividuals including susceptible, exposed, asymptomatically infected, symptomatically infected and improved or safe individuals is modeled. A novel random model including the concept of social distancing and relative risk of infection using Markov process is proposed. For each group, an aggregate investment is derived and computed using adjoint equations and maximum principle. Results show that for each group, investments in the differential game are less than investments in an optimal control approach. Although individuals' participation in investment for social distancing causes to reduce the epidemic cost, the epidemic cost according to the second approach is too much less than the first approach.
引用
收藏
页码:2149 / 2165
页数:17
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