Freeway speed limits and traffic fatalities in Washington State

被引:83
作者
Ossiander, EM
Cummings, P
机构
[1] Washington State Dept Hlth, Olympia, WA 98504 USA
[2] Univ Washington, Harborview Injury Prevent & Res Ctr, Seattle, WA 98104 USA
[3] Univ Washington, Sch Publ Hlth & Community Med, Dept Epidemiol, Seattle, WA 98104 USA
关键词
fatal crash; highway safety; speed limit;
D O I
10.1016/S0001-4575(00)00098-1
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
Background: In 1987 individual states in the USA were allowed to raise speed limits on rural freeways from 55 to 65 mph. Analyses of the impact of the increased speed limits on highway safety have produced conflicting results. Objective: To determine if the 1987 speed limit increase on Washington State's rural freeways affected the incidence of fatal crashes or all crashes on rural freeways, or affected average vehicle speeds or speed variance. Design: An ecological study of crashes and vehicle speeds on Washington State freeways from 1974 through 1994. Results: The incidence of fatal crashes more than doubled after 1987, compared with what would have been expected if there had been no speed limit increase, rate ratio 2.1 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.6-2.7). This resulted in an excess of 26.4 deaths per year on rural freeways in Washington State. The total crash rate did not change substantially, rate ratio 1.1 (95% Cl, 1.0-1.3). Average vehicle speed increased by 5.5 mph. Speed variance was not affected by the speed limit increase. Conclusions: The speed limit increase was associated with a higher fatal crash rate and more deaths on freeways in Washington State. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:13 / 18
页数:6
相关论文
共 24 条
[1]   THE MORTALITY CONSEQUENCES OF RAISING THE SPEED LIMIT TO 65 MPH ON RURAL INTERSTATES [J].
BAUM, HM ;
LUND, AK ;
WELLS, JK .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH, 1989, 79 (10) :1392-1395
[2]   MOTOR-VEHICLE CRASH FATALITIES IN THE 2ND YEAR OF 65 MPH SPEED LIMITS [J].
BAUM, HM ;
WELLS, JK ;
LUND, AK .
JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH, 1990, 21 (01) :1-8
[3]  
BRESLOW NE, 1984, APPL STAT-J ROY ST C, V33, P38
[4]  
Breslow NE, 1987, STAT METHODS CANC RE, VII
[5]   THE SAFETY IMPACT OF THE 65 MPH SPEED LIMIT - A CASE-STUDY USING ALABAMA ACCIDENT RECORDS [J].
BROWN, DB ;
MAGHSOODLOO, S ;
MCARDLE, ME .
JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH, 1990, 21 (04) :125-139
[6]   EFFECTS OF 65-MPH SPEED LIMIT ON TRAFFIC SAFETY [J].
CHANG, GL ;
PANIATI, JF .
JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING-ASCE, 1990, 116 (02) :213-226
[7]   INTERVENTION ANALYSIS FOR THE IMPACTS OF THE 65 MPH SPEED LIMIT ON RURAL INTERSTATE HIGHWAY FATALITIES [J].
CHANG, GL ;
CHEN, CH ;
CARTER, EC .
JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH, 1993, 24 (01) :33-53
[8]  
CIRILLO JA, 1968, PUBLIC ROADS, V35, P71
[9]   THE ANALYSIS OF RATES USING POISSON REGRESSION-MODELS [J].
FROME, EL .
BIOMETRICS, 1983, 39 (03) :665-674
[10]  
GALLAHER MM, 1989, JAMA-J AM MED ASSOC, V262, P2243