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Evaluating the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial High Grade prostate cancer risk calculator in 10 international biopsy cohorts: results from the prostate biopsy collaborative group
被引:28
作者:
Ankerst, Donna P.
[1
,2
]
Boeck, Andreas
[2
]
Freedland, Stephen J.
[3
,4
]
Jones, J. Stephen
[5
]
Cronin, Angel M.
[6
]
Roobol, Monique J.
[7
]
Hugosson, Jonas
[8
]
Kattan, Michael W.
[5
]
Klein, Eric A.
[5
]
Hamdy, Freddie
[9
]
Neal, David
[10
]
Donovan, Jenny
[11
]
Parekh, Dipen J.
[1
]
Klocker, Helmut
[12
]
Horninger, Wolfgang
[12
]
Benchikh, Amine
[13
]
Salama, Gilles
[14
]
Villers, Arnauld
[15
]
Moreira, Daniel M.
[3
,4
]
Schroder, Fritz H.
[7
]
Lilja, Hans
[16
]
Vickers, Andrew J.
[16
]
Thompson, Ian M.
[1
]
机构:
[1] Univ Texas Hlth Sci Ctr San Antonio, Dept Urol, San Antonio, TX 78229 USA
[2] Tech Univ Munich, Garching, Germany
[3] Durham VA Med Ctr, Durham, NC USA
[4] Duke Univ, Durham, NC USA
[5] Cleveland Clin, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[6] Dana Farber Canc Inst, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[7] Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands
[8] Sahlgrens Univ Hosp, Gothenburg, Sweden
[9] Univ Oxford, Oxford, England
[10] Univ Cambridge, Cambridge, England
[11] Univ Bristol, Bristol, Avon, England
[12] Med Univ Innsbruck, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria
[13] Hop Bichat Claude Bernard, F-75877 Paris 18, France
[14] Ctr Hosp Intercommunal Castres Mazamet, Castres, France
[15] Univ Lille Nord, Dept Urol, CHU Lille, Lille, France
[16] Mem Sloan Kettering Canc Ctr, New York, NY 10021 USA
关键词:
Calibration;
Discrimination;
Net benefit;
High-grade prostate cancer;
Risk;
PREDICTION MODELS;
IMPROVES;
ANTIGEN;
D O I:
10.1007/s00345-012-0869-2
中图分类号:
R5 [内科学];
R69 [泌尿科学(泌尿生殖系疾病)];
学科分类号:
1002 ;
100201 ;
摘要:
To assess the applicability of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial High Grade (Gleason grade a parts per thousand yen 7) Risk Calculator (PCPTHG) in ten international cohorts, representing a range of populations. A total of 25,512 biopsies from 10 cohorts (6 European, 1 UK and 3 US) were included; 4 implemented 6-core biopsies, and the remaining had 10 or higher schemes; 8 were screening cohorts, and 2 were clinical. PCPTHG risks were calculated using prostate-specific antigen, digital rectal examination, age, African origin and history of prior biopsy and evaluated in terms of calibration plots, areas underneath the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and net benefit curves. The median AUC of the PCPTHG for high-grade disease detection in the 10- and higher-core cohorts was 73.5 % (range, 63.9-76.7 %) compared with a median of 78.1 % (range, 72.0-87.6 %) among the four 6-core cohorts. Only the 10-core Cleveland Clinic cohort showed clear evidence of under-prediction by the PCPTHG, and this was restricted to risk ranges less than 15 %. The PCPTHG demonstrated higher clinical net benefit in higher-core compared with 6-core biopsy cohorts, and among the former, there were no notable differences observed between clinical and screening cohorts, nor between European and US cohorts. The PCPTHG requires minimal patient information and can be applied across a range of populations. PCPTHG risk thresholds ranging from 5 to 20 %, depending on patient risk averseness, are recommended for clinical prostate biopsy decision-making.
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页码:185 / 191
页数:7
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