The future of work: Meeting the global challenges of demographic change and automationKeywords

被引：19

作者：

Abeliansky, Ana L. ^{[1
]}

Algur, Eda ^{[2
]}

Bloom, David E. ^{[2
]}

Prettner, Klaus ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Goettingen, Gottingen, Germany

[2] Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Boston, MA 02115 USA

[3] Univ Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany

来源：

INTERNATIONAL LABOUR REVIEW | 2020年 / 159卷 / 03期

关键词：

future of work; global labour force; global employment needs; demographic change; labour force participation; technological change; automation; projection; JOBS; EMPLOYMENT; ROBOTS; GROWTH;

D O I：

10.1111/ilr.12168

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This article explores future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic and technological change. The authors first estimate the implications for job creation during 2020-30 of population growth, changes in labour force participation and the achievement of target unemployment rates, by age and sex. Second, they analyse the job creation needs by country income group and, lastly, examine the effects of accelerated automation. Projections indicate that shifting demographics will account for a far greater share of the estimated global need for 340 million jobs over 2020-30 than automation.

引用

页码：285 / 306

页数：22

共 35 条

[1] The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment [J].