Hot hand and gambler's fallacy in teams: Evidence from investment experiments

被引:19
作者
Stoeckl, Thomas [1 ]
Huber, Juergen [1 ]
Kirchler, Michael [1 ,2 ]
Lindner, Florian [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Innsbruck, Dept Banking & Finance, Univ Str 15, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria
[2] Univ Gothenburg, Dept Econ, Ctr Finance, S-41124 Gothenburg, Sweden
关键词
Hot hand fallacy; Gambler's fallacy; Experimental finance; Team decision making; EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS; DECISION-MAKING; RISK; INDIVIDUALS; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1016/j.jebo.2015.07.004
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In laboratory experiments we explore the effects of communication and group decision making on investment behavior and on subjects' proneness to behavioral biases. Most importantly, we show that communication and group decision making do not impact subjects' overall proneness to the hot hand fallacy and to the gambler's fallacy. However, groups decide differently than individuals, as they rely significantly less on useless outside advice from "experts" and choose the risk-free option less frequently. Furthermore we document gender differences in investment behavior: groups of two female subjects choose the risk-free investment more often and are marginally more prone to the hot hand fallacy than groups of two male subjects. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:327 / 339
页数:13
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