The performance of corporate financial distress prediction models with features selection guided by domain knowledge and data mining approaches

被引:59
作者
Zhou, Ligang [1 ]
Lu, Dong [2 ]
Fujita, Hamido [3 ]
机构
[1] Macau Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Taipa, Peoples R China
[2] Sichuan Normal Univ, Sch Business, Chengdu, Sichuan Provinc, Peoples R China
[3] Iwate Prefectural Univ, Fac Software & Informat Sci, Takizawa, Iwate, Japan
关键词
Financial distress prediction; Features selection; Domain knowledge; Data mining; BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION; VARIABLE SELECTION; HYBRID;
D O I
10.1016/j.knosys.2015.04.017
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Experts in finance and accounting select feature subset for corporate financial distress prediction according to their professional understanding of the characteristics of the features, while researchers in data mining often believe that data alone can tell everything and they use various mining techniques to search the feature subset without considering the financial and accounting meanings of the features. This paper investigates the performance of different financial distress prediction models with features selection approaches based on domain knowledge or data mining techniques. The empirical results show that there is no significant difference between the best classification performance of models with features selection guided by data mining techniques and that by domain knowledge. However, the combination of domain knowledge and genetic algorithm based features selection method can outperform unique domain knowledge and unique data mining based features selection method on AUC performance. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:52 / 61
页数:10
相关论文
共 33 条
[1]   FINANCIAL RATIOS, DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY [J].
ALTMAN, EI .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1968, 23 (04) :589-609
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2006, FEATURE EXTRACTION F
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2004, Credit scoring for risk managers: The handbook for lenders
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2007, Working paper
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2015, Technical Report
[6]  
[Anonymous], 2003, HP INVEN
[7]   Comparative analysis of artificial neural network models: Application in bankruptcy prediction [J].
Charalambous, C ;
Charitou, A ;
Kaourou, F .
ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2000, 99 (1-4) :403-425
[8]   A novel bankruptcy prediction model based on an adaptive fuzzy k-nearest neighbor method [J].
Chen, Hui-Ling ;
Yang, Bo ;
Wang, Gang ;
Liu, Jie ;
Xu, Xin ;
Wang, Su-Jing ;
Liu, Da-You .
KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2011, 24 (08) :1348-1359
[9]   A hybrid approach based on the combination of variable selection using decision trees and case-based reasoning using the Mahalanobis distance: For bankruptcy prediction [J].
Cho, Sungbin ;
Hong, Hyojung ;
Ha, Byoung-Chun .
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2010, 37 (04) :3482-3488
[10]  
Demsar J, 2006, J MACH LEARN RES, V7, P1