Fatal disease and demographic Allee effect: population persistence and extinction
被引:25
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作者:
Friedman, Avner
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机构:
Ohio State Univ, Math Biosci Inst, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
Ohio State Univ, Dept Math, Columbus, OH 43210 USAHoward Univ, Dept Math, Washington, DC 20059 USA
Friedman, Avner
[2
,3
]
Yakubu, Abdul-Aziz
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机构:
Howard Univ, Dept Math, Washington, DC 20059 USAHoward Univ, Dept Math, Washington, DC 20059 USA
Yakubu, Abdul-Aziz
[1
]
机构:
[1] Howard Univ, Dept Math, Washington, DC 20059 USA
[2] Ohio State Univ, Math Biosci Inst, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
[3] Ohio State Univ, Dept Math, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
If a healthy stable host population at the disease-free equilibrium is subject to the Allee effect, can a small number of infected individuals with a fatal disease cause the host population to go extinct? That is, does the Allee effect matter at high densities? To answer this question, we use a susceptible-infected epidemic model to obtain model parameters that lead to host population persistence (with or without infected individuals) and to host extinction. We prove that the presence of an Allee effect in host demographics matters even at large population densities. We show that a small perturbation to the disease-free equilibrium can eventually lead to host population extinction. In addition, we prove that additional deaths due to a fatal infectious disease effectively increase the Allee threshold of the host population demographics.
机构:
Key Laboratory of Eco-environments in Three Gorges Reservoir Region, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Southwest University, ChongqingKey Laboratory of Eco-environments in Three Gorges Reservoir Region, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Southwest University, Chongqing
机构:
Virginia Commonwealth Univ, Dept Math & Appl Math, POB 842014, Richmond, VA 23284 USAVirginia Commonwealth Univ, Dept Math & Appl Math, POB 842014, Richmond, VA 23284 USA
Lazaryan, Nika
Sedaghat, Hassan
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Virginia Commonwealth Univ, Dept Math & Appl Math, POB 842014, Richmond, VA 23284 USAVirginia Commonwealth Univ, Dept Math & Appl Math, POB 842014, Richmond, VA 23284 USA
机构:
Univ Nebraska Lincoln, Dept Math, Lincoln, NE 68588 USAUniv Nebraska Lincoln, Dept Math, Lincoln, NE 68588 USA
Jin, Yu
Peng, Rui
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机构:
Zhejiang Normal Univ, Sch Math Sci, Jinhua 321004, Zhejiang, Peoples R ChinaUniv Nebraska Lincoln, Dept Math, Lincoln, NE 68588 USA
Peng, Rui
Wang, Jinfeng
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机构:
Harbin Normal Univ, Sch Math Sci, Harbin 150025, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
Harbin Normal Univ, YY Tseng Funct Anal Res Ctr, Harbin, Heilongjiang, Peoples R ChinaUniv Nebraska Lincoln, Dept Math, Lincoln, NE 68588 USA
机构:
Univ Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South AfricaUniv Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South Africa
Usaini, Salisu
Lloyd, Alun L.
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机构:
North Carolina State Univ, Dept Math, Ctr Quantitat Sci Biomed, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA
North Carolina State Univ, Biomath Grad Program, Raleigh, NC 27695 USAUniv Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South Africa
Lloyd, Alun L.
Anguelov, Roumen
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Univ Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South AfricaUniv Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South Africa
Anguelov, Roumen
Garba, Salisu M.
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机构:
Univ Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South AfricaUniv Pretoria, Dept Math & Appl Math, Pretoria, South Africa