Surface ozone variability and the jet position: Implications for projecting future air quality

被引：65

作者：

Barnes, Elizabeth A. ^{[1
]}

Fiore, Arlene M. ^{[2
,3
]}

机构：

[1] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Div Ocean & Climate Phys, Palisades, NY USA

[2] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Palisades, NY USA

[3] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2013年 / 40卷 / 11期

关键词：

surface ozone; climate change; jet stream; ASSOCIATION; CLIMATE;

D O I：

10.1002/grl.50411

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Changes in the variability of surface ozone can affect the incidence of ozone pollution events. Analysis of multi-century simulations from a chemistry climate model shows that present-day summertime variability of surface ozone depends strongly on the jet stream position over eastern North America. This relationship holds on decadal time scales under projected climate change scenarios, in which surface ozone variability follows the robust poleward shift of the jet. The correlation between ozone and co-located temperature over eastern North America is also closely tied to the jet position, implying that local ozone-temperature relationships may change as the circulation changes. Jet position can thus serve as a dynamical predictor of future surface ozone variability over eastern North America and may also modulate ozone variability in other northern midlatitude regions.

引用

页码：2839 / 2844

页数：6

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