Epilepsy after severe traumatic brain injury: frequency and injury severity

Objective: To estimate national frequency of posttraumatic epilepsy (PTE) after severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) and assess injury severity (Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and posttraumatic amnesia (PTA)) as prognostic factors for PTE. Methods Data on patients >= 18 years surviving severe TBI 2004-2016 were retrieved from the Danish Head Trauma Database (n = 1010). The cumulative incidence proportion (CIP) was estimated using death as competing event. The association between injury severity and PTE was assessed using multivariable competing risk regressions. Results CIP of PTE 28 days and one year post-TBI was 6.8% (95% confidence interval (CI) 5.4-8.5) and 18.5% (95% CI 16.1-21.1%), respectively. Injury severity was not associated with PTE within 28 days post-TBI but indicated higher PTE-rates in less severely injured patients. PTA-duration >70 days was associated with PTE 29-365 days post-TBI (Adjusted sub-hazard ratio 4.23 (95% CI 1.79-9.99)). GCS was not associated with PTE 29-365 days post-TBI. Conclusion The PTE frequency was higher compared to previous estimates. Increasing injury severity was associated with PTE 29-365 days post-TBI when measured with PTA, but not with GCS. Though nonsignificant, the increased PTE-risk within 28 days in lower severity suggests an underdiagnosing of PTE.