Modeling Energy and Development: An Evaluation of Models and Concepts

被引：85

作者：

Van Ruijven, Bas ^{[1
]}

Urban, Frauke ^{[2
]}

Benders, Rene M. J. ^{[2
]}

Moll, Henri C. ^{[2
]}

Van Der Sluijs, Jeroen P. ^{[1
]}

De Vries, Bert ^{[1
,3
]}

Van Vuuren, Detlef P. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Utrecht, NL-3508 TC Utrecht, Netherlands

[2] Univ Groningen, NL-9700 AB Groningen, Netherlands

[3] Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, PBL, Bilthoven, Netherlands

来源：

WORLD DEVELOPMENT | 2008年 / 36卷 / 12期

关键词：

developing countries; Asia; energy modeling; IPCC/SRES models;

D O I：

10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.01.011

中图分类号：

F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

Most global energy models are developed by institutes from developed countries focusing primarily oil issues that are important in industrialized countries. Evaluation of the results for Asia of the IPCC/SRES models shows that broad concepts of energy and development. the energy ladder and the environmental Kuznets curve, call be observed in the results of file models. However, improvements can be made in Modeling the issues that underlie these Concepts, like traditional fuels. electrification, economic structural change, income distribution, and informal economies. Given the rapidly growing importance of energy trajectories of developing countries for global sustainability, the challenge for the future is to develop energy models that include all these aspects of energy and development. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：2801 / 2821

页数：21

共 77 条

[1]

[Anonymous], 2002, EC GROWTH ENERGY CON

[2]

[Anonymous], 2000, WORLD ENERGY ASSESSM

[3]

[Anonymous], SPEC REP EM SCEN

[4]

[Anonymous], 2002, EN POV WORLD EN OUTL