Actual and Counterfactual Smoking Prevalence Rates in the US Population via Microsimulation

被引:47
作者
Jeon, Jihyoun [1 ]
Meza, Rafael [2 ]
Krapcho, Martin [3 ]
Clarke, Lauren D. [4 ]
Byrne, Jeff [3 ]
Levy, David T. [5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Fred Hutchinson Canc Res Ctr, Program Biostat & Biomath, Seattle, WA 98109 USA
[2] Univ Michigan, Dept Epidemiol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[3] Informat Management Serv Inc, Silver Spring, MD 20904 USA
[4] Cornerstone Syst NW Inc, Lynden, WA 98264 USA
[5] Pacific Inst Res & Evaluat, Calverton, MD 20850 USA
[6] Univ Baltimore, Dept Econ, Baltimore, MD 21201 USA
基金
美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
CISNET; microsimulation; smoking history generator; smoking prevalence; tobacco control; LUNG-CANCER; ABSTINENCE; MORTALITY; DURATION; SMOKERS; MODEL;
D O I
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01775.x
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
The smoking history generator (SHG) developed by the National Cancer Institute simulates individual life/smoking histories that serve as inputs for the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) lung cancer models. In this chapter, we review the SHG inputs, describe its outputs, and outline the methodology behind it. As an example, we use the SHG to simulate individual life histories for individuals born between 1890 and 1984 for each of the CISNET smoking scenarios and use those simulated histories to compute the corresponding smoking prevalence over the period 1975-2000.
引用
收藏
页码:S51 / S68
页数:18
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]   Birth-Cohort-Specific Estimates of Smoking Behaviors for the US Population [J].
Anderson, Christy M. ;
Burns, David M. ;
Dodd, Kevin W. ;
Feuer, Eric J. .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2012, 32 :S14-S24
[2]   Duration of smoking abstinence and success in quitting [J].
Gilpin, EA ;
Pierce, JP ;
Farkas, AJ .
JOURNAL OF THE NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE, 1997, 89 (08) :572-576
[3]   Multistage carcinogenesis and lung cancer mortality in three cohorts [J].
Hazelton, WD ;
Clements, MS ;
Moolgavkar, SH .
CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY BIOMARKERS & PREVENTION, 2005, 14 (05) :1171-1181
[4]   The FHCRC Lung Cancer Model [J].
Hazelton, William D. ;
Jeon, Jihyoun ;
Meza, Rafael ;
Moolgavkar, Suresh H. .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2012, 32 :S99-S116
[5]   Some properties of the hazard function of the two-mutation clonal expansion model [J].
Heidenreich, WF ;
Luebeck, EG ;
Moolgavkar, SH .
RISK ANALYSIS, 1997, 17 (03) :391-399
[6]   Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control [J].
Holford, Theodore R. ;
Clarke, Lauren D. .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2012, 32 :S39-S50
[7]   Relapse to smoking after 1 year of abstinence: A meta-analysis [J].
Hughes, John R. ;
Peters, Erica N. ;
Naud, Shelly .
ADDICTIVE BEHAVIORS, 2008, 33 (12) :1516-1520
[8]   A model to predict the results of changes in smoking behaviour on smoking prevalence [J].
Kemm, J .
JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH MEDICINE, 2003, 25 (04) :318-324
[9]  
Knoke JD, 2004, CANCER EPIDEM BIOMAR, V13, P949
[10]  
Matsumoto M., 1998, ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, V8, P3, DOI 10.1145/272991.272995