共 50 条
Roadmap for achieving net-zero emissions in global food systems by 2050
被引:54
|作者:
Costa, Ciniro, Jr.
[1
,2
,3
]
Wollenberg, Eva
[1
,2
,4
,5
]
Benitez, Mauricio
[6
]
Newman, Richard
[1
,3
]
Gardner, Nick
[7
]
Bellone, Federico
[8
]
机构:
[1] Alliance Biovers Int, Cali, Colombia
[2] CIAT Multifunct Landscapes, Cali, Colombia
[3] CIAT Sustainable Finance, Cali, Colombia
[4] Univ Vermont, Gund Inst Environm, Burlington, VT USA
[5] Clim Eat, Wageningen, Netherlands
[6] responsAbil Investments AG, Zurich, Switzerland
[7] US Dairy Export Council, Arlington, VA USA
[8] UNFCCC Climate Champions, Bonn, Germany
关键词:
CLIMATE-CHANGE;
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS;
PERMANENCE;
D O I:
10.1038/s41598-022-18601-1
中图分类号:
O [数理科学和化学];
P [天文学、地球科学];
Q [生物科学];
N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
Food systems (FSs) emit similar to 20 GtCO(2)e/y (similar to 35% of global greenhouse gas emissions). This level tends to raise given the expected increases in food demands, which may threaten global climate targets. Through a rapid assessment, evaluating 60+ scenarios based on existing low-emission and carbon sequestration practices, we estimate that intensifying FSs could reduce its emissions from 21.4 to - 2.0 GtCO(2)e/y and address increasing food demands without relying on carbon offsets (e.g., related to afforestation and reforestation programs). However, given historical trends and regional contexts, a more diverse portfolio of practices, including diet shifts and new-horizon technologies, will be needed to increase the feasibility of achieving net-zero FSs. One likely pathway consists of implementing practices that shift food production to the 30th-percentile of least emission-intensive FSs (similar to 45% emissions reduction), sequester carbon at 50% of its potential (similar to 5 GtCO(2)e/y) and adopt diet shifts and new-horizon technologies (similar to 6 GtCO(2)e/y). For a successful transition to happen, the global FSs would, in the next decade (2020s), need to implement cost-effective mitigation practices and technologies, supported by improvements in countries' governance and technical assistance, innovative financial mechanisms and research focused on making affordable technologies in the following two decades (2030-2050). This work provides options and a vision to guide global FSs to achieving net-zero by 2050.
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页数:11
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