Roadmap for achieving net-zero emissions in global food systems by 2050

被引:54
|
作者
Costa, Ciniro, Jr. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Wollenberg, Eva [1 ,2 ,4 ,5 ]
Benitez, Mauricio [6 ]
Newman, Richard [1 ,3 ]
Gardner, Nick [7 ]
Bellone, Federico [8 ]
机构
[1] Alliance Biovers Int, Cali, Colombia
[2] CIAT Multifunct Landscapes, Cali, Colombia
[3] CIAT Sustainable Finance, Cali, Colombia
[4] Univ Vermont, Gund Inst Environm, Burlington, VT USA
[5] Clim Eat, Wageningen, Netherlands
[6] responsAbil Investments AG, Zurich, Switzerland
[7] US Dairy Export Council, Arlington, VA USA
[8] UNFCCC Climate Champions, Bonn, Germany
关键词
CLIMATE-CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS; PERMANENCE;
D O I
10.1038/s41598-022-18601-1
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Food systems (FSs) emit similar to 20 GtCO(2)e/y (similar to 35% of global greenhouse gas emissions). This level tends to raise given the expected increases in food demands, which may threaten global climate targets. Through a rapid assessment, evaluating 60+ scenarios based on existing low-emission and carbon sequestration practices, we estimate that intensifying FSs could reduce its emissions from 21.4 to - 2.0 GtCO(2)e/y and address increasing food demands without relying on carbon offsets (e.g., related to afforestation and reforestation programs). However, given historical trends and regional contexts, a more diverse portfolio of practices, including diet shifts and new-horizon technologies, will be needed to increase the feasibility of achieving net-zero FSs. One likely pathway consists of implementing practices that shift food production to the 30th-percentile of least emission-intensive FSs (similar to 45% emissions reduction), sequester carbon at 50% of its potential (similar to 5 GtCO(2)e/y) and adopt diet shifts and new-horizon technologies (similar to 6 GtCO(2)e/y). For a successful transition to happen, the global FSs would, in the next decade (2020s), need to implement cost-effective mitigation practices and technologies, supported by improvements in countries' governance and technical assistance, innovative financial mechanisms and research focused on making affordable technologies in the following two decades (2030-2050). This work provides options and a vision to guide global FSs to achieving net-zero by 2050.
引用
收藏
页数:11
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