Space weather;
Sunspot groups;
Sunspots;
Zurich classification;
SOLAR-ACTIVITY;
MAXIMUM AMPLITUDE;
DECAY;
GROWTH;
PREDICTION;
BEHAVIOR;
SIZE;
NUMBERS;
SYSTEM;
MODEL;
D O I:
10.1007/s11207-013-0323-7
中图分类号:
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号:
0704 ;
摘要:
The aim of this work is to present a statistical study of several parameters (variables) that define sunspot groups. These variables include maximum area, growth and decay times, as well as the evolution families, and solar-cycle phase the groups belong to. We classified group types based on the Zurich classification, which allows us to define a set of families based on their evolution patterns. The time variation of the area of a group was also studied, and a relationship between the maximum area and the growth and decay times was sought. Another study was carried out to find the correlation among different characteristics of the groups, as well as how the probability of a certain value of decay time can vary depending on morphological characteristics defined by these variables. Thus, a program based on a weight matrix combining the variables necessary to classify a group, together with the calculation of the probability for a specific event, has been produced. This approach allows us to predict the future behavior of a group from its historical evolution.
机构:
Calif State Univ Northridge, Dept Phys & Astron, San Fernando Observ, Northridge, CA 91330 USACalif State Univ Northridge, Dept Phys & Astron, San Fernando Observ, Northridge, CA 91330 USA
Chapman, G. A.
Dobias, J. J.
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机构:
Calif State Univ Northridge, Dept Phys & Astron, San Fernando Observ, Northridge, CA 91330 USACalif State Univ Northridge, Dept Phys & Astron, San Fernando Observ, Northridge, CA 91330 USA
Dobias, J. J.
Arias, T.
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机构:
Calif State Univ Northridge, Dept Phys & Astron, San Fernando Observ, Northridge, CA 91330 USACalif State Univ Northridge, Dept Phys & Astron, San Fernando Observ, Northridge, CA 91330 USA
机构:
Natl Inst Sci Educ & Res Bhubaneswar, Sch Phys Sci, Jatni 752050, Khurda, IndiaNatl Inst Sci Educ & Res Bhubaneswar, Sch Phys Sci, Jatni 752050, Khurda, India
Das, Ratul
Ghosh, Aparup
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机构:
Indian Inst Sci Educ & Res Kolkata, Dept Phys Sci, Mohanpur 741246, Nadia, IndiaNatl Inst Sci Educ & Res Bhubaneswar, Sch Phys Sci, Jatni 752050, Khurda, India
Ghosh, Aparup
Karak, Bidya Binay
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机构:
Banaras Hindu Univ, Dept Phys, Indian Inst Technol, Varanasi 221005, Uttar Pradesh, India
Max Planck Inst Sonnensyst Forsch, Justus Von Liebig Weg 3, D-37077 Gottingen, GermanyNatl Inst Sci Educ & Res Bhubaneswar, Sch Phys Sci, Jatni 752050, Khurda, India