Volatility persistence in cryptocurrency markets under structural breaks

被引:56
作者
Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins [1 ]
Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko [2 ,3 ]
Madigu, Godfrey [4 ]
Romero-Rojo, Fatima [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Adelaide, Business Sch, Adelaide, SA, Australia
[2] Univ Navarra, Pamplona, Spain
[3] Univ Francisco Vitoria, Madrid, Spain
[4] Strathmore Univ, Nairobi, Kenya
关键词
Cryptocurrencies; Volatility; Long memory; Fractional integration; LONG-MEMORY; ADAPTIVE MARKET; TIME-SERIES; STOCK MARKETS; BITCOIN; MODEL; INEFFICIENCY; HYPOTHESIS; EFFICIENCY; VARIANCE;
D O I
10.1016/j.iref.2020.06.035
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper deals with the analysis of volatility persistence in 12 main cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Bitshare, Bytecoin, Dash, Ether, Litecoin, Monero, Nem, Ripple, Siacoin, Stellar and Tether) taking into account the possibility of structural breaks. Using fractional integration methods, the results indicate that both absolute and squared returns display long memory features, with orders of integration confirming the long memory hypothesis. However, after accounting for structural breaks, we find a reduction in the degree of persistence in the cryptocurrency market. The evi-dence of persistence in volatility imply that market participants who want to make gains across trading scales need to factor the persistence properties of cryptocurrencies in their valuation and forecasting models since that will help improve long-term volatility market forecasts and optimal hedging decisions.
引用
收藏
页码:680 / 691
页数:12
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