Estimating the long-run crude oil demand function of China: Some new evidence and policy options

被引:4
作者
Li, Sisi [1 ]
Khan, Sufyan Ullah [1 ]
Yao, Yao [2 ]
Chen, George S. [3 ]
Zhang, Lin [4 ]
Salim, Ruhul [5 ]
Huo, Jiaying [6 ]
机构
[1] Xian Int Univ, Coll Int Cooperat, Xian 710077, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[2] Shanghai Lixin Univ Accounting & Finance, Sch Int Econ & Trade, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[3] Univ New England, UNE Business Sch, Armidale, NSW, Australia
[4] City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Energy & Environm, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[5] Curtin Univ, Sch Econ & Finance, Curtin Business Sch, Perth, Australia
[6] Sehan Univ, Fac Educ, Dangjin 31746, South Korea
关键词
Crude oil; Demand function; Energy consumption; New energy pricing system; ARDL; China; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; IMPORT DEMAND; ECONOMETRIC-ANALYSIS; BOUNDS TEST; COINTEGRATION; PRICES; MATTER; DETERMINANTS; ELASTICITIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113244
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
China's remarkable economic progress over the past three decades has been complemented by massive energy consumption. Although coal has long been the primary energy source, the rise in crude oil use has been viewed as more contentious, because a large portion of crude oil is imported, whereas the economy is mostly self-sufficient in coal. We examine the role of R&D effort and self-sufficiency on China's oil import function from 1980 to 2020. Using the autoregressive distributed lag model, we find that the R&D effort raises oil imports in the long run. However, we find oil imports to be independent from self-sufficiency in the long run. We also find that China's accession to the World Trade Organization has significantly changed the cointegrating relationship in the oil import function. Our results suggest that the government should continue to incentivize energy-saving measures and fund research projects on renewable energy sources. Furthermore, deregulation in the oil market is quin-tessential to energy security and stable growth in the long run.
引用
收藏
页数:11
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