Epidemiological profile and transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in the Philippines

被引:17
作者
Haw, N. J. L. [1 ]
Uy, J. [1 ,2 ]
Sy, K. T. L. [3 ,4 ]
Abrigo, M. R. M. [2 ]
机构
[1] Ateneo Manila Univ, Sch Sci & Engn, Hlth Sci Program, Quezon City, Philippines
[2] Philippine Inst Dev Studies, Makati, Philippines
[3] Boston Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Boston, MA USA
[4] Boston Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Global Hlth, Boston, MA USA
关键词
COVID-19; epidemiology; low; and middle-income country; Philippines; surveillance; PACKAGE;
D O I
10.1017/S0950268820002137
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
The Philippines confirmed local transmission of COVID-19 on 7 March 2020. We described the characteristics and epidemiological time-to-event distributions for laboratory-confirmed cases in the Philippines recorded up to 29 April 2020 and followed until 22 May 2020. The median age of 8212 cases was 46 years (IQR 32-61), with 46.2% being female and 68.8% living in the National Capital Region. Health care workers represented 24.7% of all detected infections. Mean length of hospitalisation for those who were discharged or died were 16.00 days (95% CI 15.48-16.54) and 7.27 days (95% CI 6.59-8.24). Mean duration of illness was 26.66 days (95% CI 26.06-27.28) and 12.61 days (95% CI 11.88-13.37) for those who recovered or died. Mean serial interval was 6.90 days (95% CI 5.81-8.41). Epidemic doubling time prior to the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ; 11 February and 19 March) was 4.86 days (95% CI 4.67-5.07) and the reproductive number was 2.41 (95% CI 2.33-2.48). During the ECQ (20 March to 9 April), doubling time was 12.97 days (95% CI 12.57-13.39) and the reproductive number was 0.89 (95% CI 0.78-1.02).
引用
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页数:8
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