The market potential for plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in Flanders: A choice-based conjoint analysis

被引：84

作者：

Lebeau, Kenneth ^{[1
]}

Van Mierlo, Joeri ^{[2
]}

Lebeau, Philippe ^{[1
]}

Mairesse, Olivier ^{[1
]}

Macharis, Cathy ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept MOSI Transport & Logist, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium

[2] Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept ETEC, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium

来源：

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT | 2012年 / 17卷 / 08期

关键词：

Electric vehicles; Battery electric vehicles; Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles; MANAGEMENT; DEMAND;

D O I：

10.1016/j.trd.2012.07.004

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

This paper considers the market potential for battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles in Flanders, Belgium. Making use of a large-scale survey conducted in 2011 and applying a choice-based conjoint experiment, it is predicted that by 2020, battery electric vehicles could have a market share of about 5% of new vehicles, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles could have a share of around 7%. By 2030, these figures could increase to 15% and 29%. The speed of up-take of electric vehicles, however, is sensitive to purchase costs. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：592 / 597

页数：6

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