Good practice policies to bridge the emissions gap in key countries

被引:22
作者
Baptista, Luiz Bernardo [1 ]
Schaeffer, Roberto [1 ]
van Soest, Heleen L. [2 ,3 ]
Fragkos, Panagiotis [4 ]
Rochedo, Pedro R. R. [1 ]
van Vuuren, Detlef [2 ,3 ]
Dewi, Retno Gumilang [5 ]
Iyer, Gokul [6 ,7 ]
Jiang, Kejun [8 ]
Kannavou, Maria [4 ]
Macaluso, Nick [9 ]
Oshiro, Ken [10 ]
Park, Chan [11 ]
Reedman, Luke J. [12 ]
Safonov, George [13 ]
Shekhar, Swapnil [14 ]
Siagian, Ucok [5 ]
Surana, Kavita [15 ]
Chai Qimin [16 ]
机构
[1] Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Ctr Energy & Environm Econ Cenergia, Energy Planning Programme PPE, COPPE, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
[2] PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, POB 30314, NL-2500 GH The Hague, Netherlands
[3] Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Princetonlaan 8a, NL-3584 CB Utrecht, Netherlands
[4] E3 Modeling SA, Panormou 70-72, Athens, Greece
[5] Inst Teknol Bandung, Ctr Res Energy Policy, Bandung, Indonesia
[6] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD USA
[7] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD USA
[8] Natl Dev & Reform Commiss, Energy Res Inst, B1505,Guohong Bldg,Jia 11, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China
[9] Environm & Climate Change, Model Dev & Quantitat Res Div, Econ Anal Directorate, Strateg Policy Branch, Toronto, ON, Canada
[10] Kyoto Univ, Dept Environm Engn, Nishikyo Ku, C1-3 361, Kyoto, Japan
[11] Univ Seoul, Coll Urban Sci, Dept Landscape Architecture, Seoul, South Korea
[12] Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org CSIRO, POB 330, Newcastle, NSW 2300, Australia
[13] Natl Res Univ, Higher Sch Econ, 20 Myasnitskaya St, Moscow 101000, Russia
[14] Eindhoven Univ Technol TU E, Dept Ind Engn & Innovat Sci, NL-5612 AZ Eindhoven, Netherlands
[15] Univ Maryland, Ctr Global Sustainabil, Sch Publ Policy, College Pk, MD USA
[16] Tsinghua Univ, Inst Energy Environm & Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
来源
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2022年 / 73卷
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
Climate policy; Integrated assessment models; Good practice policies; Nationally determined contributions; Bridge scenarios; PARIS AGREEMENT; MITIGATION; SCENARIOS;
D O I
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102472
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
One key aspect of the Paris Agreement is the goal to limit the global average temperature increase to well below 2 degrees C by the end of the century. To achieve the Paris Agreement goals, countries need to submit, and periodically update, their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Recent studies show that NDCs and currently implemented national policies are not sufficient to cover the ambition level of the temperature limit agreed upon in the Paris Agreement, meaning that we need to collectively increase climate action to stabilize global warming at levels considered safe. This paper explores the generalization of previously adopted good practice policies (GPPs) to bridge the emissions gap between current policies, NDCs ambitions and a well below 2 degrees C world, facilitating the creation of a bridge trajectory in key major-emitting countries. These GPPs are implemented in eleven well-established national Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) for Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, European Union (EU), India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and the United States, that provide least-cost, low-carbon scenarios up to 2050. Results show that GPPs can play an important role in each region, with energy supply policies appearing as one of the biggest contributors to the reduction of carbon emissions. However, GPPs by themselves are not enough to close the emission gap, and as such more will be needed in these economies to collectively increase climate action to stabilize global warming at levels considered safe.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 37 条
[31]   Future Regional Contributions for Climate Change Mitigation: Insights from Energy Investment Gap and Policy Cost [J].
Sun, Hongjie ;
Niu, Shuwen ;
Wang, Xiqiang .
SUSTAINABILITY, 2019, 11 (12)
[32]  
The White House United States, 2016, MID CENT STRAT DEEP
[33]  
UN (United Nations), 2015, The Paris agreement. online United Nations Climate Change
[34]   Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways [J].
van den Berg, Nicole J. ;
van Soest, Heleen L. ;
Hof, Andries F. ;
den Elzen, Michel G. J. ;
van Vuuren, Detlef P. ;
Chen, Wenying ;
Drouet, Laurent ;
Emmerling, Johannes ;
Fujimori, Shinichiro ;
Hoehne, Niklas ;
Koberle, Alexandre C. ;
McCollum, David ;
Schaeffer, Roberto ;
Shekhar, Swapnil ;
Vishwanathan, Saritha Sudharmma ;
Vrontisi, Zoi ;
Blok, Kornelis .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2020, 162 (04) :1805-1822
[35]   Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap [J].
van Soest, Heleen L. ;
Reis, Lara Aleluia ;
Baptista, Luiz Bernardo ;
Bertram, Christoph ;
Despres, Jacques ;
Drouet, Laurent ;
den Elzen, Michel ;
Fragkos, Panagiotis ;
Fricko, Oliver ;
Fujimori, Shinichiro ;
Grant, Neil ;
Harmsen, Mathijs ;
Iyer, Gokul ;
Keramidas, Kimon ;
Koberle, Alexandre C. ;
Kriegler, Elmar ;
Malik, Aman ;
Mittal, Shivika ;
Oshiro, Ken ;
Riahi, Keywan ;
Roelfsema, Mark ;
van Ruijven, Bas ;
Schaeffer, Roberto ;
Herran, Diego Silva ;
Tavoni, Massimo ;
Unlu, Gamze ;
Vandyck, Toon ;
van Vuuren, Detlef P. .
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2021, 12 (01)
[36]   The costs of achieving climate targets and the sources of uncertainty [J].
van Vuuren, D. P. ;
van der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar ;
Marsman, Stijn ;
van den Berg, Maarten ;
Hof, Andries F. ;
Jones, Chris D. .
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020, 10 (04) :329-+
[37]   Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °C stabilization: a short-term multi-model assessment [J].
Vrontisi, Zoi ;
Luderer, Gunnar ;
Saveyn, Bert ;
Keramidas, Kimon ;
Reisa, Lara Alelui ;
Baumstark, Lavinia ;
Bertram, Christoph ;
de Boer, Harmen Sytze ;
Drouet, Laurent ;
Fragkiadakis, Kostas ;
Fricko, Oliver ;
Fujimori, Shinichiro ;
Guivarch, Celine ;
Kitous, Alban ;
Krey, Volker ;
Kriegler, Elmar ;
Broin, Eoin O. ;
Paroussos, Leonidas ;
van Vuuren, Detlef .
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (04)