Semiparametric test formultiple change-points based on empirical likelihood

被引:1
作者
Zhang, Shuxia [1 ]
Bao, Gejun [1 ]
Tian, Boping [1 ]
Li, Yijun [2 ]
机构
[1] Harbin Inst Technol, Dept Math, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
[2] Harbin Inst Technol, Dept Management, Harbin, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
关键词
Change-point model; empirical likelihood; limit theorem; semiparametric;
D O I
10.1080/03610926.2015.1066815
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In the dynamic financial market, the change of financial asset prices is always described as a certain random events which result in abrupt changes. The random time when the event occurs is called a change point. As the event happens, in order to mitigate property damage the government should increase the macro-control ability. As a result, we need to find a valid statistical model for change point problem to solve it effectively. This paper proposes a semiparametric model for detecting the change points. According to the research of empirical studies and hypothesis testingwe acquire themaximum likelihood estimators of change points. We use the loglikelihood ratio to test the multiple change points. We obtain some asymptotic results. The estimated change point is more efficient than the non parametric one through simulation experiments. Real data application illustrates the usage of the model.
引用
收藏
页码:3574 / 3585
页数:12
相关论文
共 14 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1997, LIMIT THEOREMS CHANG
[2]  
Brodsky B., 1993, NONPARAMETRIC METHOD
[3]   THE ASYMPTOTIC-BEHAVIOR OF SOME NONPARAMETRIC CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATORS [J].
DUMBGEN, L .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1991, 19 (03) :1471-1495
[4]   Information, no-arbitrage and completeness for asset price models with a change point [J].
Fontana, Claudio ;
Grbac, Zorana ;
Jeanblanc, Monique ;
Li, Qinghua .
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS, 2014, 124 (09) :3009-3030
[5]   A semiparametric changepoint model [J].
Guan, Z .
BIOMETRIKA, 2004, 91 (04) :849-862
[6]  
Guan Z., 2012, CJS, V40, P1
[7]   Semiparametric tests for change-points with epidemic alternatives [J].
Guan, Zhong .
JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE, 2007, 137 (06) :1748-1764
[8]   A method for choosing the smoothing parameter in a semi-parametric model for detecting change-points in blood flow [J].
Han, Sung Wan ;
Mesquita, Rickson C. ;
Busch, Theresa M. ;
Putt, Mary E. .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2014, 41 (01) :26-45
[9]  
LOMBARD F, 1987, BIOMETRIKA, V74, P615, DOI 10.1093/biomet/74.3.615
[10]   A Nonparametric Approach for Multiple Change Point Analysis of Multivariate Data [J].
Matteson, David S. ;
James, Nicholas A. .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2014, 109 (505) :334-345