What good is a volatility model?

被引:340
作者
Engle, Robert F. [1 ]
Patton, Andrew J.
机构
[1] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Finance, NYU Stern Sch Business, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1088/1469-7688/1/2/305
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
A volatility model must be able to forecast volatility; this is the central requirement in almost all financial applications. In this paper we outline some stylized facts about volatility that should be incorporated in a model: pronounced persistence and mean-reversion, asymmetry such that the sign of an innovation also affects volatility and the possibility of exogenous or pre-determined variables influencing volatility. We use data on the Dow Jones Industrial Index to illustrate these stylized facts, and the ability of GARCH-type models to capture these features. We conclude with some challenges for future research in this area.
引用
收藏
页码:237 / 245
页数:9
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