Medium-term uranium supply and demand economics

被引：0

作者：

Frimmel, Hartwig E. ^{[1
]}

Mueller, Juergen ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Wurzburg, Inst Geog & Geol, D-97074 Wurzburg, Germany

来源：

LET'S TALK ORE DEPOSITS, VOLS I AND II | 2011年

关键词：

uranium; mining; supply; forecast;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Future global uranium production from ore deposits was modelled following two independent approaches, i.e., (i) based on reported reserves and resources as well as planned capacities of current uranium mines and mine projects, and (ii) based on a hypothetical calculated total amount of U that can be mined as extrapolated by a modified Hubbert Linearization and parabola technique. Both methods resulted in a predicted U peak at around 2023. Until that time, an oversupply of U is predicted. After 2013, when secondary U from the dismantling of nuclear weapons might not be a significant source for the global U supply anymore, this shortfall will be covered by additional primary U from mining of ore. From the late 2020's or early 2030's, a progressively opening gap between U supply and demand is predicted.

引用

页码：936 / 938

页数：3