机构:
Wesley Hosp, Toowong, Qld, Australia
Wesley Res Inst, Toowong, Qld, Australia
Univ Queensland, Sch Human Movement Studies, St Lucia, Qld, AustraliaRoyal Brisbane & Womens Hosp, Dept Nutr & Dietet, Herston, Qld 4029, Australia
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study estimates the economic outcomes of a nutrition intervention to at-risk patients compared with standard care in the prevention of pressure ulcer. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Statistical models were developed to predict 'cases of pressure ulcer avoided', 'number of bed days gained' and 'change to economic costs' in public hospitals in 2002-2003 in Queensland, Australia. Input parameters were specified and appropriate probability distributions fitted for: number of discharges per annum; incidence rate for pressure ulcer; independent effect of pressure ulcer on length of stay; cost of a bed day; change in risk in developing a pressure ulcer associated with nutrition support; annual cost of the provision of a nutrition support intervention for at-risk patients. A total of 1000 random re-samples were made and the results expressed as output probability distributions. RESULTS: The model predicts a mean 2896 (s.d. 632) cases of pressure ulcer avoided; 12 397 (s.d. 4491) bed days released and corresponding mean economic cost saving of euros 2 869 526 (s.d. 2 078 715) with a nutrition support intervention, compared with standard care. CONCLUSION: Nutrition intervention is predicted to be a cost-effective approach in the prevention of pressure ulcer in at-risk patients. European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2013) 67, 42-46; doi:10.1038/ejcn.2012.140; published online 10 October 2012