Agriculture production as a major driver of the Earth system exceeding planetary boundaries

被引:730
作者
Campbell, Bruce M. [1 ]
Beare, Douglas J. [1 ]
Bennett, Elena M. [2 ,3 ]
Hall-Spencer, Jason M. [4 ,5 ]
Ingram, John S. I. [6 ]
Jaramillo, Fernando [7 ,8 ,9 ]
Ortiz, Rodomiro [10 ]
Ramankutty, Navin [11 ,12 ]
Sayer, Jeffrey A. [13 ]
Shindell, Drew [14 ]
机构
[1] Univ Copenhagen, Int Ctr Trop Agr CIAT, CGIAR Res Program Climate Change Agr & Food Secur, Copenhagen, Denmark
[2] McGill Univ, McGill Sch Environm, Montreal, PQ, Canada
[3] McGill Univ, Dept Nat Resource Sci, Montreal, PQ, Canada
[4] Univ Plymouth, Marine Biol & Ecol Res Ctr, Plymouth, Devon, England
[5] Univ Tsukuba, Shimoda Marine Res Ctr, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
[6] Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Food Syst Res Programme, Oxford, England
[7] Stockholm Univ, Stockholm Resilience Ctr, Stockholm, Sweden
[8] Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden
[9] Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden
[10] Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Plant Breeding, Umea, Sweden
[11] Univ British Columbia, UBC Sch Publ Policy & Global Affairs, Vancouver, BC, Canada
[12] Univ British Columbia, Inst Resources Environm & Sustainabil, Vancouver, BC, Canada
[13] James Cook Univ, Coll Marine & Environm Sci, Ctr Trop Environm & Sustainabil Sci, Cairns, Australia
[14] Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27708 USA
关键词
aerosol loading; biogeochemical flows; biosphere integrity; chemical pollution; climate change; diversity; freshwater; land-system change; nitrogen; ocean acidification; ozone depletion; phosphorous; SAFE OPERATING SPACE; NITROGEN-CYCLE; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FOOD SECURITY; EMISSIONS; TRENDS; PHOSPHORUS; WATER; LAND; N2O;
D O I
10.5751/ES-09595-220408
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
We explore the role of agriculture in destabilizing the Earth system at the planetary scale, through examining nine planetary boundaries, or "safe limits": land-system change, freshwater use, biogeochemical flows, biosphere integrity, climate change, ocean acidification, stratospheric ozone depletion, atmospheric aerosol loading, and introduction of novel entities. Two planetary boundaries have been fully transgressed, i.e., are at high risk, biosphere integrity and biogeochemical flows, and agriculture has been the major driver of the transgression. Three are in a zone of uncertainty i.e., at increasing risk, with agriculture the major driver of two of those, land-system change and freshwater use, and a significant contributor to the third, climate change. Agriculture is also a significant or major contributor to change for many of those planetary boundaries still in the safe zone. To reduce the role of agriculture in transgressing planetary boundaries, many interventions will be needed, including those in broader food systems.
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页数:11
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