INTERVENTION MODEL FOR EXCHANGE RATE IN EGYPT

被引:0
作者
Kamel, Maie M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Tanta Univ, Fac Commerce, Dept Math & Stat, Tanta, Egypt
关键词
intervention model; transfer function model; time series analysis; exchange rate;
D O I
10.17654/AS054010031
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper attempts to analyze and model the impact of the decision to float the Egyptian pound on 3 November 2016. The intervention effect was described as sudden, abrupt and having a lasting effect. It is found that the ARIMA intervention model is more precise in explaining and analyzing the intervention effects of floating the Egyptian pound.
引用
收藏
页码:31 / 42
页数:12
相关论文
共 11 条
[1]  
Agyemang B., 2012, THESIS
[2]   EFFECTIVENESS OF SEAT-BELT LEGISLATION ON THE QUEENSLAND ROAD TOLL - AUSTRALIAN CASE-STUDY IN INTERVENTION ANALYSIS [J].
BHATTACHARYYA, MN ;
LAYTON, AP .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1979, 74 (367) :596-603
[3]  
Bowerman B., 1987, Time series forecasting: Unified concepts and computer implementation
[4]   INTERVENTION ANALYSIS WITH APPLICATIONS TO ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS [J].
BOX, GEP ;
TIAO, GC .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1975, 70 (349) :70-79
[5]  
Box GEP, 1976, TIME SERIES ANAL FOR
[6]   An ARIMA-Intervention Analysis Model for the Financial Crisis in China's Manufacturing Industry [J].
Chung, Roy C. P. ;
Ip, W. H. ;
Chan, S. L. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING BUSINESS MANAGEMENT, 2009, 1 (01) :15-18
[7]   Using intervention time series analyses to assess the effects of imperfectly identifiable natural events: A general method and example [J].
Gilmour S. ;
Degenhardt L. ;
Hall W. ;
Day C. .
BMC Medical Research Methodology, 6 (1)
[8]   Intervention analysis with control groups [J].
Harvey, A .
INTERNATIONAL STATISTICAL REVIEW, 1996, 64 (03) :313-328
[9]  
Massoud A A., 2014, International Journal of Social Science Studies, V2, P1, DOI DOI 10.11114/IJSSS.V2I4.445
[10]  
Ray M, 2014, STAT APPL, V12, P61