Optimal control of foliar disease dynamics for multiple maize varieties

被引:2
作者
Collins, Obiora Cornelius [1 ]
Duffy, Kevin Jan [1 ]
机构
[1] Durban Univ Technol, Inst Syst Sci, ZA-4000 Durban, South Africa
关键词
Population dynamics; modelling; maize varieties; maize foliar diseases; stability analyses; optimal control; QUANTITATIVE TRAIT LOCI; GRAY LEAF-SPOT; TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION NUMBER; WATERBORNE DISEASE; STABILITY ANALYSIS; RESISTANCE; HETEROGENEITY; CHOLERA; MODELS;
D O I
10.1080/09064710.2017.1416156
中图分类号
S3 [农学(农艺学)];
学科分类号
0901 ;
摘要
Maize is a very important food crop world-wide and is vulnerable to diseases. Maize varieties that have high disease resistance are highly recommended for economic and health reasons. We consider a maize field with multiply varieties and develop a mathematical model to investigate the impact of foliar disease on the population dynamics. The possible benefit of considering control measures in reducing the spread of foliar diseases are evaluated. Results show that farmers must be aware of the disease dynamics of each variety as the dynamics vary. Also, in controlling diseases some methods are more effective than others. For the example given here controlling susceptibility of seeds to disease was the most effective method. As controlling diseases can be costly, optimal methods are important. Our results show that the most effective controls are those introduced at the outset of an outbreak and this can reduce the spread of diseases with the least cost.
引用
收藏
页码:412 / 423
页数:12
相关论文
共 43 条
[1]  
Abebe F, 2009, AFR J BIOTECHNOL, V8, P5937
[2]   Breeding for improved abiotic stress tolerance in maize adapted to southern Africa [J].
Bänziger, M ;
Setimela, PS ;
Hodson, D ;
Vivek, B .
AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT, 2006, 80 (1-3) :212-224
[3]   The Impact of Improved Maize Varieties on Poverty in Mexico: A Propensity Score-Matching Approach [J].
Becerril, Javier ;
Abdulai, Awudu .
WORLD DEVELOPMENT, 2010, 38 (07) :1024-1035
[4]  
Bello O. B., 2012, International Journal of Plant Research, V2, P14, DOI 10.5923/j.plant.20120202.03
[5]   Backward Bifurcation and Optimal Control in Transmission Dynamics of West Nile Virus [J].
Blayneh, Kbenesh W. ;
Gumel, Abba B. ;
Lenhart, Suzanne ;
Clayton, Tim .
BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, 2010, 72 (04) :1006-1028
[6]   Effect of maize streak virus disease on the growth and yield of maize as influenced by varietal resistance levels and plant stage at time of challenge [J].
Bosque-Pérez, NA ;
Olojede, SO ;
Buddenhagen, IW .
EUPHYTICA, 1998, 101 (03) :307-317
[7]   QUANTITATIVE TRAIT LOCI CONTROLLING RESISTANCE TO GRAY LEAF-SPOT IN MAIZE [J].
BUBECK, DM ;
GOODMAN, MM ;
BEAVIS, WD ;
GRANT, D .
CROP SCIENCE, 1993, 33 (04) :838-847
[8]   A systems approach to assess crop health and maize yield losses due to pests and diseases in Cameroon [J].
Cardwell, KF ;
Schulthess, F ;
Ndemah, R ;
Ngoko, Z .
AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT, 1997, 65 (01) :33-47
[9]  
Castillo-Chavez C, 2002, MATHEMATICAL APPROAC
[10]   Incorporating heterogeneity into the transmission dynamics of a waterborne disease model [J].
Collins, O. C. ;
Govinder, K. S. .
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 2014, 356 :133-143