Grid-connected photovoltaic in Brazil: Policies and potential impacts for 2030

被引:41
作者
Jannuzzi, Gilberto de Martino [1 ,2 ]
de Melo, Conrado Augustus [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Estadual Campinas, UNICAMP, Fac Engn Mecan, BR-13083970 Campinas, SP, Brazil
[2] IEI LA, Int Energy Initiat, BR-13083970 Campinas, SP, Brazil
[3] Univ Estadual Campinas, UNICAMP, NIPE, BR-13083896 Campinas, SP, Brazil
[4] FAPESP, BR-13083896 Campinas, SP, Brazil
基金
巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词
Solar energy; Grid-connected photovoltaics; Policy mechanisms; Diffusion scenarios; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.esd.2012.10.010
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This paper presents a prospective analysis of grid connected solar photovoltaic (PV) systems in the Brazilian household sector. With the reduction of solar PV module prices around the world and the high tariffs for residential consumers in Brazil some regions of the country with large solar radiation resource are reaching the grid electricity-price parity. In this context the objective of this paper is to evaluate scenarios of technology diffusion up to 2030 considering policy mechanisms to foster the development of grid connected PV generation. The three mechanisms assessed are the net metering compensation scheme as proposed by the Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency (ANEEL), feed-in tariffs and direct subsidies to PV installations. We evaluate the market penetration potential in each case using a logit-function approach. The investigation results show that PV distributed technology has good opportunities for Brazil to diversify its energy matrix with potential economic and environmental benefits. However it is clear that the absence of long-term energy policy objectives for solar PV and the Jack of additional support mechanisms could reflect in an inefficient and incipient adoption of this technology and the loss of its potential benefits. (C) 2012 International Energy Initiative. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:40 / 46
页数:7
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