National Health Expenditure Projections, 2014-24: Spending Growth Faster Than Recent Trends

被引：156

作者：

Keehan, Sean P. ^{[1
]}

Cuckler, Gigi A. ^{[2
]}

Sisko, Andrea M. ^{[2
]}

Madison, Andrew J. ^{[2
]}

Smith, Sheila D. ^{[2
]}

Stone, Devin A. ^{[2
]}

Poisal, John A. ^{[3
]}

Wolfe, Christian J. ^{[2
]}

Lizonitz, Joseph M. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Ctr Medicare & Medicaid Serv CMS, Off Actuary, Baltimore, MD 21244 USA

[2] CMS Off Actuary, New York, NY USA

[3] CMS Off Actuary, Natl Hlth Stat Grp, New York, NY USA

来源：

HEALTH AFFAIRS | 2015年 / 34卷 / 08期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1377/hlthaff.2015.0600

中图分类号：

R19 [保健组织与事业（卫生事业管理）];

学科分类号：

摘要：

Health spending growth in the United States is projected to average 5.8 percent for 2014-24, reflecting the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansions, faster economic growth, and population aging. Recent historically low growth rates in the use of medical goods and services, as well as medical prices, are expected to gradually increase. However, in part because of the impact of continued cost-sharing increases that are anticipated among health plans, the acceleration of these growth rates is expected to be modest. The health share of US gross domestic product is projected to rise from 17.4 percent in 2013 to 19.6 percent in 2024.

引用

页码：1407 / 1417

页数：11

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