Histopathological Predictors of Recurrence in Stage III Colon Cancer: Reappraisal of Tumor Deposits and Tumor Budding Using AJCC8 Criteria

Patients with stage III colonic adenocarcinoma have a spectrum of risk for recurrent disease, and histopathological variables that predict recurrence can help stratify patients into prognostic groups. To identify histopathological predictors of recurrence, we investigated the effect of implementation of the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC8) staging system definition of tumor deposits and International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC) criteria for tumor budding compared with other known prognostic variables in 256 resected colonic adenocarcinomas, including 150 stage III and 106 stage II tumors. In stage III colon cancer, tumor deposits and high tumor budding were the only independent histological variables that predicted disease recurrence. In a multivariable analysis in stage III colon cancer, tumor deposits and high tumor budding were associated with a 2.2- and 1.5-fold increased risk of developing disease recurrence, respectively (95% CI = 1.1-4,2, P = .02, and 95% CI = 1.1-2.1, P = .01, respectively). The negative prognostic effect of tumor deposits was most pronounced in patients with stage IIIB disease in which tumor deposits were associated with a 3.2-fold increased risk of disease recurrence (95% CI = 1.4-7.1; P = .005). Within the N1 cohort, patients with tumor deposits without concurrent positive lymph nodes (N1c) had a significantly decreased disease-free survival compared with patients with N0 tumors (P < .001) and patients with N1a/b tumors (P = .02). As independent risk factors for recurrence, tumor deposits and high tumor budding are important histopathological variables and should be included as a part of a routine comprehensive pathological risk assessment in stage III colon cancer.