Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health

被引：11

作者：

Sil, Arjun ^{[1
]}

Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] NIT Silchar, Dept Civil Engn, Silchar 788010, Assam, India

来源：

JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND RESILIENCE | 2020年 / 1卷 / 01期

关键词：

Covid-19; Pendemic; Temperature; Health risk;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that-6.28 & DEG;C and + 14.51 & DEG;C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg-Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13-17 cases/day with a 1 & DEG;C rise in temperature.

引用

页码：3 / 11

页数：9

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