Effects of incorrect detrending on the coherency between non-stationary time series processes

被引:2
作者
Lee, Jin [1 ]
机构
[1] Ewha Womans Univ, Dept Econ, 52 Ewhayeodae Gil, Seoul 03760, South Korea
关键词
coherency; stochastic trends; deterministic trends; detrending; UNIT-ROOT; TESTS; TREND;
D O I
10.29220/CSAM.2019.26.1.027
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We study the effect of detrending on the coherency between two time series processes. Many economic and financial time series variables include nonstationary components; however, we analyze the two most popular cases of stochastic and deterministic trends. We analyze the asymptotic behavior of coherency under incorrect detrending, which includes the cases of first-differencing the deterministic trend process and, conversely, the time trend removal of the unit root process. A simulation study is performed to investigate the finite sample performance of the sample coherency due to incorrect detrending. Our work is expected to draw attention to the possible distortion of coherency when the series are incorrectly detrended. Further, our results can extend to various specification of trends in aggregate time series variables.
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页码:27 / 34
页数:8
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