On the maximum drawdown of a Brownian motion

被引:90
作者
Magdon-Ismail, M
Atiya, AF
Pratap, A
Abu-Mostafa, YS
机构
[1] Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Dept Comp Sci, Troy, NY 12180 USA
[2] CALTECH, Dept Elect Engn, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA
[3] CALTECH, Dept Comp Sci, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA
[4] Cairo Univ, Dept Comp Engn, Giza, Egypt
关键词
random walk; asymptotic distribution; expected maximum drawdown;
D O I
10.1239/jap/1077134674
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The maximum drawdown at time T of a random process on [0, T] can be defined informally as the largest drop from a peak to a trough. In this paper, we investigate the behaviour of this statistic for a Brownian motion with drift. In particular, we give an infinite series representation of its distribution and consider its expected value. When the drift is zero, we give an analytic expression for the expected value, and for nonzero drift, we give an infinite series representation. For all cases, we compute the limiting (T --> infinity) behaviour, which can be logarithmic (for positive drift), square root (for zero drift) or linear (for negative drift).
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 161
页数:15
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