A new rating system approach for risk analysis of rock slopes

被引:5
作者
Goorchi, Reza Nassirzadeh [1 ]
Amini, Mehdi [1 ]
Memarian, Hossein [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tehran, Sch Min Engn, Coll Engn, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Risk assessment; Rating system; Probability of failure; Element at risk; Vulnerability; Songun copper plant in Iran; STABILITY ANALYSIS; MODEL; FAILURE; RELIABILITY; PREDICTION; DESIGN; SLIDES;
D O I
10.1007/s11069-017-3144-4
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
In this paper, an approach is presented to analyze the stability risk of rock slopes based on a new rating system. Three factors are used to estimate the risk level of rock slopes: (1) failure probability, (2) element at risk rating, and (3) vulnerability rating. Element at risk and vulnerability ratings are both given a range from 0 to 10, and the probability of failure is varied between 0 and 1, so the risk rating ranges between 0 and 100. This risk rating can be used to determine both the quantitative and qualitative risk levels of slopes at the same time. The method is tested on the western sector of the slopes facing Songun copper plant phase III, Iran, to clarify its procedures and assess its validity. Deterministic kinematic analyses showed that the slope has a potential for circular failure. Risk assessments revealed that the risk levels of the slope in both static and pseudo-static conditions are "very low" and "high," respectively.
引用
收藏
页码:S75 / S102
页数:28
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