Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk: Evidence from Advanced Economies during the Financial Crisis

被引：6

作者：

Alper, C. Emre ^{[1
]}

Forni, Lorenzo ^{[1
]}

Gerard, Marc ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Int Monetary Fund, Washington, DC 20431 USA

来源：

INTERNATIONAL FINANCE | 2013年 / 16卷 / 02期

关键词：

DEFAULT; ARBITRAGE; SPREADS;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1468-2362.2013.12028.x

中图分类号：

F8 [财政、金融];

学科分类号：

0202 ;

摘要：

We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-10 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market arbitrage relationship between the cash (RAS) and the derivatives (CDS) markets, with price discovery taking place in the latter. Likewise, panel regressions aimed at uncovering the fundamental drivers of the two indicators show that the CDS market, although less liquid, has provided a better signal for sovereign credit risk during the period of the recent financial crisis.

引用

页码：161 / 188

页数：28

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