Wrong but Useful - What Covid-19 Epidemiologic Models Can and Cannot Tell Us

被引:256
作者
Holmdahl, Inga [1 ]
Buckee, Caroline [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Ctr Communicable Dis Dynam, Boston, MA 02115 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1056/NEJMp2016822
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
Mechanistic epidemiologic models are designed to help us systematically examine the implications of various assumptions about a highly nonlinear process that is hard to predict using only intuition. Used appropriately, they can help guide us through this pandemic.
引用
收藏
页码:303 / 305
页数:3
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