Change Point Detection in The Skew-Normal Model Parameters

被引:18
作者
Arellano-Valle, Reinaldo B. [1 ]
Castro, Luis M. [2 ]
Loschi, Rosangela H. [3 ]
机构
[1] Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Dept Estat, Santiago, Chile
[2] Univ Concepcion, Dept Estat, Concepcion, Chile
[3] Univ Fed Minas Gerais, Dept Estat, BR-31270901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
关键词
Change point detection; Posterior distribution; Shape parameter; Skew-normal distribution; Stochastic representation; Primary; 62Exx; Secondary; 62F15; SHAPE MIXTURES; DISTRIBUTIONS; INFERENCE;
D O I
10.1080/03610926.2011.611321
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Bayesian inference under the skew-normal family of distributions is discussed using an arbitrary proper prior for the skewness parameter. In particular, we review some results when a skew-normal prior distribution is considered. Considering this particular prior, we provide a stochastic representation of the posterior of the skewness parameter. Moreover, we obtain analytical expressions for the posterior mean and variance of the skewness parameter. The ultimate goal is to consider these results to one change point identification in the parameters of the location-scale skew-normal model. Some Latin American emerging market datasets are used to illustrate the methodology developed in this work.
引用
收藏
页码:603 / 618
页数:16
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